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), surges up leaderboard in Singapore, Here's the prize money payout for each golfer at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Padraig Harrington is squeezing out the last bit of game from a career with highs and a few regrets, You missed the boat on the Caddyshack "Seafood" yacht, which just sold to a Rhode Island professor, The good, the bad and the unknown about the PGA Tours new Designated Events model, PGA Tour's popularity ranking undergoing drastic change, PGA Tour's popularity ranking undergoes another drastic change. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Hennessey, Golf Digest: Will Gordon (66-1, BetMGM) Im surprised were getting such a good number on Gordon, one of the most talented players in the field. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Lack: Lee Hodges (50-1, DraftKings) Lee Hodges came through for me last week in a big way on DraftKings and the top-20 market, and I see no reason to hop off now that we are traveling to a course that he finished ninth at last year, gaining strokes in all four major categories. Of his four top-five finishes in 2020, one of them was at a major and two others were in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Although the distance is non-existent, the Brit has been the most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Davis, on the other hand, has MCd three straight times and seems to be a bit lost with every club but the driver right now. In my opinion, Wise is a top-five player in this field, behind only Sungjae Im, Shane Lowry and Billy Horschel, and we are catching him at a more than fair price due to his slow start to the season. Coastal winds can be a contributing factor to this, as well. Obviously one round is a tiny sample size, so its best to embrace variance and find golfers who tend to get off to hot starts. The putter, however, was just abysmal. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Maybe the stage is too big for him over here. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-fantasy-golf-picks-lineups-advice-rankings-top-golf-expert-says-fade-jon-rahm | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | 2023 The Honda Classic: Field | Tournament Model | Rankings| Betting Odds and First Looks | Course History & Current Form | DFS Picks | First-Round Leader Picks | One and Done | Past Results | Cheat Sheet | PGA Tour Event History | Recent Form | Finish Database | Discord. (Subscribe for video or audio). Gehman: Min Woo Lee (-110) over Matt Kuchar (Bet365) Golf is a global game and Min Woo Lee is crushing it right now. See who else to back right here. RELATED: Jon Rahms prescientand scaryquote. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. The Northern Irishman was actually down by 10 through two holes Sunday but stormed back to claim the title. Who should you back with your Fantasy golf picks? Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Schauffele's accuracy could spell trouble on Riviera's tight fairways. On top of that, he lives in West Palm Beach, so this is a home game for him. Ball-strikers who can putt at even a field-average baseline can have value week in and week out. So what are the top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open? In 34 starts since the beginning of the 2018-19 season, Scheffler has lost strokes off the tee to the field only one time. Holliman has been a writer and editor for nearly 25 years and has been playing and following the game closely for more than three decades. Seriously. PGA DFS players entering tournaments, cash games, or 50-50s on FanDuel or DraftKings for the 2023 Sony Open will have plenty of tough choices to make. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Poston is coming off a respectable showing at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, securing a T-21 finish in Hawaii. Three-Putt Avoidance Birdies or Better Gained Without further ado, let's dig into my outright picks for the Scottish Open. 2022: Tom Hoge (-19, 2 clear of Jordan Spieth), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18, 2 clear of Mav McNealy), 2020: Nick Taylor (-19, four shots clear of Kevin Streelman), 2019: Phil Mickelson (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey), 2018: Ted Potter (-17, 3 clear of Day/Mickelson/Reavie/DJ), 2017: Jordan Spieth (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft), 2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson), Mayos Key Stats powered by FantasyNational.com. Yes, thats an arbitrary cutoff, but the point is that Munoz can get himself in contention through any facet of the game and make cuts when one part of his game isnt clicking. From Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: This ones not that bold, but Wolff is one of just six golfers over the final 100 rounds on the PGA Tour last season who ranked in the 75th percentile or better in strokes gained/off the tee, approach and putting, plus driving distance and birdie-or-better rate, according to data from FantasyNational.com. Hence the extra consideration for SG: Around The Green. He gains 0.66 strokes putting on this surface each round, per the RickRunGood.com golf database the best mark in the field. Out of those players listed, Wolffs odds have the best valueyou can find Wolff to win the PGA Championship at 50-1 odds. Hell likely do well at Bay Hill, at the Players and at Harbour Town, but all of those will have stacked fields as elevated events and Im not so sure Kirk can beat a field like that. 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). That's why has finished in the top 10 three straight times, including a runner-up spot in 2021. He has played nine non-major PGA Tour/KFT events in the last year and has made the cut in one of those. Or would a player with recent success at Riviera, like 2021 winner Max Homa (20-1) or 2022 runner-up Morikawa (21-1), put you in a better position to win? We've now cashed outright winners the past two weeks, so jump on board and scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Honda Classic. Routinely, they will point us to players who are undervaluedbased on their betting odds and fantasy salary prices. Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in. So we asked these experts to dig through those numbers to give us their predictions for players who are likely to routinely deliver on their odds and fantasy prices for 2021and help put more money in your pockets. His putter has been lethal during the swing and into the new year, averaging almost +1.5 SG: PUTT over his past 20 rounds. Scheffler is the defending champion of this event, and he's finished T-12 or . Kisner and Dahmen are making their first starts of 2023. Monterey Peninsula has the largest greens in the rotation at 6,000 square feet, which is still slightly below TOUR average. This guy seems to tear it up overseas on the DP World tour, but hasnt been able to catch his footing over here in the states. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Holliman has one stunning prediction for this week: Fantasy players should fade Rahm and look for better value. McClure is also a predictive data engineer at SportsLine who uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every tournament 10,000 times, taking factors like statistical trends, past results and current form into account. He can keep putting up strong finishes and chip away until he nets a win (most likely a week with Bermuda greens). Mayo: Adrian Meronk (+105) over Cameron Davis (Bet365) Meronk is legit, just unknown. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Adam Scott (+490, FanDuel) A course history play for me on Adam Scott, who finished T-4 here last year, won here in 2020 and boasts the best SG/total numbers at. Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. 7. Denny McCarthy: McCarthy had a great showing against a strong field last week and could be trending toward that first PGA Tour win. RELATED: Golf One-and-Done 2020-'21 Guide: 9 tips for winning these popular yearlong contests. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Gehman: Sungjae Im This is seemingly a no-brainer. His last eight starts on the DP World Tour have all yielded top-13 finishes with five top-fours during that run. Hoge was tied with Hossler and Putnam last year, Berger was T2, one stroke behind Spieth in 2021, and Phil Mickelson was three back of Paul Casey entering the final round in 2019. Varner was a first-round leader twice in 2020, joining Collin Morikawa, Russell Knox and Sebastian Munoz as the only golfers to accomplish that feat more than once last year. The promise of extra long rounds with amateur partners, the Saudi International Asian Tour event acting as a proxy war location for PGA/LIV drama, and the scheduling the week before Waste Management/Riviera has left the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in shambles for field strength. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Last year, Hoge became the outlier opening 65/1 in the betting market. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. The Honda Classic is this week, and the PGA Tour moves to Florida for a standard week at PGA National. 11:51 am ET, see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure, Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023, Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, PGA DFS: 2023 Sony Open picks, lineups, advice, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Alex Noren: Noren is kind of in that Russell Henley territory as a guy that gains strokes in somewhat unspecatacular fashion. The Spaniard was impressive in the final round at the Sentry and has won three of his past five tournaments. The two straight missed cuts have his win odds longer than they should be. Would one of the big three be the best golfer to anchor your 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf picks? Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. While never great with the flat stick, that was his worse run since 2009. The Honda Classic, once an event that tracked tons of top pros including Tiger Woods, has its weakest field in recent memory, with not a single player inside the top 17 in the world rankings teeing it up at PGA National this week. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Hes reeled off four straight Top 25 finishes in this event and is one of the only players in the world who seems to have the ability to be the best or worst player in any field with his irons round-to-round. All Rights Reserved. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/IL) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN only) or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA only) or 1-800-522-4700 (CO Only) or TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. Fantasy Insider Sleeper Picks: WM Phoenix Open Taylor Montgomery (+180 for a Top 20) Yeah, yeah, the. RELATED: The 9 bets you should make right now for 2021. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Houston Open: Jason Day. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Golf Betting and Fantasy Picks: 10 players who will make you money in 2021, make informed decisions regarding betting on golf tournaments and daily fantasy golf competitions. Perhaps hes close to putting it altogether at Honda, where hes finished 17th and 12th in his last two appearances. Yes, he did gain an unsustainable amount of strokes with the putter, but he did make noticeable progress off-the-tee and on approach from WMPO to the Genesis. WMPO: Sungjae Im. And the irons were just as good, finishing eight among all tour players. McClure's model included J.T. Hello, Aaron Rai. Honda Classic picks 2023: Is it time for another breakthrough for Aaron Wise? Caddie: Davis Riley (80-1, BetMGM) With so many options in terms of longshots, this is a shot in the dark. For the 2022 BMW Championship, Gates is touting a massive sleeper for fantasy rosters who is priced at less than $7,000 at DraftKings . Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Chris Kirk (30-1, DraftKings) Is this a number we want to bet Chris Kirk at, or think he can realistically win at? RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Green sizes at Pebble Beach at just 3,500 square feet. He's also missed the cut just once in his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour, consistently providing value for those who roster him in their PGA DFS lineups. RELATED: 15 signs you watch too much golf on TV. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. The likes of Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Will Zalatoris also are part of The American Express 2023 field that is among the best in the tournament's 63 years. Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2023 Pebble Beach Picks. He has not had a top-10 in 20 events, so this is clearly the "new caddie, new spark" feeling I got here. Now he enters a tournament where his iron play is the class of the field, ranking ninth in this field in SG/approach over his last 36 rounds. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. And which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? On average, Ancer cost $8,279 on DraftKings and returned an average of 62.79 DraftKings points per start. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Here are our. Our betting panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from PGA National; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; Gdula and your two authorstends to run hot once one of us hits an outright. Pat Mayo breaks down the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open is J.T. He is 131st in driving accuracy, and while he ranks seventh in greens in regulation, he is 120th in proximity to the hole. Caddie: Ben Griffin (+130, Day 1 three-ball) over Dylan Frittelli and Sean OHair (DraftKings) Griffin at +130 on Bermudagrass seems like a steal. From Gehman: As golf wagering becomes more mature, you will be presented with many different optionsand the first-round leader market is incredibly fun but also have more strategy involved than you might think. But that was on different grass. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. "He just keeps hanging around," Holliman says, "but he's rarely a true threat." Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. If he isn't locked in, he could find some trouble. When at his best, Tway drives it long so hell be able to club down and hope for more precision around PGA National this week. Im secured a T-13 finish at last week's Sentry Tournament of Champions and he'll enter this week's event confident he can have another strong showing in Hawaii. It . Golfers I'm Definitely Playing Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel) Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. Dustin Johnson and J.B. Holmes are the only two players to hit more than 100 drives over 300 yards at Pebble Golf Links during this event. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Expert Picks THE TOUR. Hes cashed this bet in 6.25 percent of his starts since January 2019and while that is a small percentage of the time, you'll reap the benefits (usually with odds of 50-1 or greater) when it happens again. Powers, Golf Digest: Ben Griffin (+100) over Cameron Davis (DraftKings) Sneaky bullish this week on Ben Griffin, a North Carolina man through and through who does well on Bermuda and is a machine on approach. Before the COVID-19 hiatus, there were only a handful of players better tee to green than Bubba. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. And could Woods (120-1) be worth a flier? Augusta National, Danielle Kang moonlights as a putter maker(! Last season, he nailed the Tour Championship, saying Rory McIlroy was the only player capable of making up a six-stroke deficit to get past Scheffler. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Now, Holliman has ranked his top golfers from the 2023 Genesis Invitational field. Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups.

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